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Banking Crisis and Exports 1980-2006

World, 1980 - 2006
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Reference ID
WLD_2006_BCE_v01_M
Producer(s)
Leonardo Iacovone (World Bank) and Veronika Zavacka (Graduate Institute for International and Development Studies)
Metadata
DDI/XML JSON
Study website
Created on
Nov 10, 2011
Last modified
Mar 29, 2019
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  • Study Description
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  • FinalDataset

Data file: FinalDataset

Exports data, from UN Comtrade, are disaggregated at 4 digits ISIC Rev 2 and cover the period 1980 to 2006. There are 81 industries at this level of disaggregation, however, not all countries have exported in all industries and years and therefore the resulting panel is unbalanced with the number of observations slightly above 30000.

The information on banking crises is obtained from Dell'Ariccia, Detragiache, and Rajan (2008) who identify 48 episodes of systemic financial crises in both developed and developing countries. Because we are only interested in the effect of pure banking crises we exclude all \twin crises" when a currency crisis occurred jointly with the banking crisis. The rationale for this exclusion is that we want to isolate the credit crunch channel from balance sheet effects. During twin crises, when large devaluations occur, firms with high exposure to foreign debt will be hit particularly hard. If these firms are also the firms highly dependent on external finance, the effect of the crisis on exporters that we observe might be a consequence of their own balance sheet problems rather than a consequence of the credit crunch due to the banking crisis. Finally, out of the remaining 32 crisis episodes we only have disaggregated trade data for 23 crises in 21 countries. We use Dell'Ariccia, Detragiache, and Rajan's (2008) database to identify the start of the crisis but in the estimations the financial crisis dummy is actually a \crisis window". This is equal to 1 if country if faces a financial crisis in year t as well as in the two following years .The reason of using a crisis window is because we are not only interested in the immediate short run effects of the crisis but also its medium-term effects. Furthermore, given the lumpiness of certain investments it is possible that the impact of the credit crunch due to the crisis may emerge with a lag as firms do not have to finance investment continuously.

Cases: 39588
Variables: 44

Variables

exporter
Reporter
year
Year
product
Product
tradevalue
Total value of exports(thousands USD)
tradeshare
Share of the industry in total exports in t-3
expgrowth
Export growth rate (log difference)
expgrowthTRIM
Trimmed growth rate (5% at each tail)
BANK
Banking crisis dummy
BANK_W3
Banking crisis - 3 year window
TWIN
Twin crisis
RZ
External finance dependence (Rajan, Zingales 1998)
FL
Dependence on trade credit (Fisman, Love 2003)
TANG
Tangibility (Kroszner, Laeven, Klingebiel 2007)
ofagdp
OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS ASSETS / GDP
pcrdbofgdp
PRIVATE CREDIT BY DEPOSIT MONEY BANKS AND OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS / GDP
stmktcap
STOCK MARKET CAPITALIZATION / GDP
RecessionAbroad
Trade weighted recession abroad
GDPgrAbroad
Trade weighted GDP growth abroad
durables
1 if durable, 0 otherwise
loss
GDP loss during crisis (linear trend)
loss2
GDP loss during crisis (quadratic trend)
GDPcap
Real GDP per capita (USD)
developed
Dummy=1 if developed, 0 otherwise
developing
(mean) developing
blanguar
Blanket guarantee
liqsup
Liquidity support
forba
Forbearance A
forbb
Forbearance B
recaps
Recapitalizations
debtrelief
Debt relief
policytot
Policy total
recession
Recession at home dummy
GDPgr
Real gdp growth %
INVSA
Inventories/sales
CCC
Cash conversion cycle
RZyoung
External finance dependence, young firms
rznoncrisis
Ext. fin. dep. non-crisis countries
caplab
Capital/labor
rd
R&D intensity
homogeneity
Product homogeneity
n
Number of intermediates (Cowan and Neut)
herf
Herfindahl index of intermediate use (Cowan and Neut)
intout
Intermediate use/Output (Cowan and Neut)
contcrisis
Contagious crisis dummy
Total: 44
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