Type | Working Paper |
Title | Human capital investment responses to skilled migration prospects: evidence from a natural experiment in Nepal |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2011 |
URL | http://www-personal.umich.edu/~slesh/jobmarketpaper.pdf |
Abstract | Brain drain has been perceived as a hindrance to poor countries’ development. However, by increasing the expected returns to education, improved prospects for skilled emigration may stimulate human capital investment at home. Empirical evidence on the net e↵ect of emigration prospects is scarce, largely because characteristics that drive human capital investment also directly a↵ect the decision to emigrate. This paper focuses on a natural experiment that involves the recruitment of Nepali men into the British Army, a tradition that originated during British colonial rule in South Asia. In 1993 a change in the education requirement for Nepali recruits resulted in an exogenous, di↵erential increase in their skilled versus unskilled emigration prospects. Due to a historical pattern of recruitment established in the mid-19th century, Nepali men of Gurkha ethnicity were disproportionately a↵ected by this change. I use individual-level information on ethnicity, gender, and age to motivate a set of di↵erence-in-di↵erence and synthetic control strategies to estimate e↵ects on educational attainment. Eligible men responded to the rule change by raising their schooling by over one year, a 30% increase over the average. This increase also occurred for eligible men who did not emigrate, so there was a net increase in the human capital stock of eligible men. |
» | Nepal - National Population Census 2001 |