Type | Report |
Title | Local State History and Contemporary Conflict: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2013 |
URL | http://projects.iq.harvard.edu/files/bwgape/files/wgape_depetris-chauvin.pdf |
Abstract | I examine empirically the role of historical political centralization on the likelihood of modern civil conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa. I combine a wide variety of historical sources to construct an original measure of long-run exposure to statehood at the local level. I then exploit variation in this new measure along with geo-referenced conflict data to document a robust negative statistical relationship between local long-run exposure to statehood and contemporary conflict. I argue that locations with long histories of statehood are better equipped with mechanisms to establish and preserve order. I provide two pieces of evidence consistent with this hypothesis. First, locations with relatively long historical exposure to statehood are less prone to experience conflict when hit by a negative shock to the agricultural sector. Second, exploiting contemporary individual-level survey data for 18 Sub-Saharan countries, I show that within-country long historical experience with statehood is linked to people’s positive attitudes toward state institutions and traditional leaders. |
» | Benin, Burkina Faso, Botswana, Cabo Verde, Ghana, Kenya, Liberia, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mali, Mozambi - Afrobarometer Survey 2008, Merged Round 4 Data (20 Countries) |