Sectoral Employment in Indonesia With Spatial and Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) Modelapproach

Type Conference Paper - International Conference on Science, Technology and Humanity 2015
Title Sectoral Employment in Indonesia With Spatial and Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) Modelapproach
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2015
URL https://publikasiilmiah.ums.ac.id/bitstream/handle/11617/6314/b-08.pdf?sequence=3&isAllowed=y
Abstract
Employment becomes one of the most important focuses of development in Indonesia.
Analysis of employment and its factors could be the consideration in making employment
policies. Several studies of employment related to a particular economic sector have been
carried out. For a comparison, this paper discussed the model of labor absorption with three
economic sectors. The source of data was derived from all the provinces in Indonesia for five
years. Spatial model was estimated with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for each
year of observation. Moran’s I and LM test were used to identify the spatial dependency. SUR
model was estimated with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and General Least Square (GLS).
The variables used to estimate labor absorption were the output and real wage. The result
indicated that the spatial dependency was significant particularly in the agricultural
sector with a spatial error model. Meanwhile, labor absorption was significantly affected by
the output and real wage for both OLS estimation and GLS estimation for SUR model.
Service sector had the highest R2 value. UR model with GLS estimation was evidenced to be
more efficient than OLS estimation, in addition, standard error of parameters using GLS
estimation evenly was lower than OLS estimation.

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