The Impact of Fundamentalist Terrorism on School Enrolment: Evidence from North-Western Pakistan, 2004-09

Type Working Paper
Title The Impact of Fundamentalist Terrorism on School Enrolment: Evidence from North-Western Pakistan, 2004-09
Author(s)
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2016
URL https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/147854/1/dp10168.pdf
Abstract
Islamist groups in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and elsewhere have sought to remove females from
public life. This paper uses data from Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement
and the Global Terrorism Database to examine the impact of the Pakistani Taliban’s terror
campaign in the north-western province of Khyber Pukhtoonkhwa aimed at removing girls
from school from the age of 10. Using a difference-in-difference-indifference approach, we
show that low levels of exposure to terrorism had little effect on school enrolment. High levels
of exposure reduced the enrolment rate for boys by about 5.5 percent and girls by about 10.5
percent. This decline in enrolment, although strongly significant, is far smaller than has
commonly been portrayed in the media. Finally, although the Taliban warned students to
enrol in madrassas rather than secular schools, we find no evidence that this led to increased
madrassa enrolment in the affected regions.

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