Type | Journal Article - Journal of Public Economics |
Title | Endogenous gentrification and housing price dynamics |
Author(s) | |
Volume | 100 |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2013 |
Page numbers | 45-60 |
URL | http://popcenter.uchicago.edu/archived/housing_stanford_final_erik.pdf |
Abstract | In this paper, we explore differential changes in house prices across neighborhoods within a city to better understand the nature of house price dynamics across cities. The paper has four goals. First, we document in detail that there is substantial and systematic heterogeneity in house price dynamics within a city during city wide housing price booms and busts. Second, we propose a new explanation of within city house price dynamics that is consistent with the empirical facts. In the model, neighborhood amenities adjust endogenously based on the composition of the residents who populate the neighborhood. Specifically, we assume that neighborhood amenities increase with the richness of ones neighbors. In such a model, with relatively minor assumptions, households will segregate based on income. In response to housing demand shocks, the model predicts that the neighborhoods on the boundary between the rich and poor areas are the most price elastic. For example, when richer households enter a city, the rich neighborhoods will expand outward turning previous poor neighborhoods into richer neighborhoods. We refer to this process as gentrification. Third, we empirically test this new mechanism against other mechanisms that could explain within city house price differences. We find strong support for the existence of endogenous gentrification in explaining housing price dynamics within a city. Finally, we show that even after controlling for other important determinants of land prices, the endogenous gentrification mechanism is still important in explaining cross city differences in house price dynamics. |
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