Type | Working Paper |
Title | Labor market changes and human capital investment: Evidence from migration boom in Nepal |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2015 |
URL | http://digitalrepository.unm.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1061&context=nsc_research |
Abstract | Education is an important determinant of long-term economic and social development, and many developing countries policies are aimed at increasing schooling. The success of these policies partly depends on accessibility of high-skilled jobs relative to low-skilled jobs. By lowering the rate of return to education and increasing opportunity cost of staying in school, an abundance of low-skilled jobs could reduce schooling. One source of low-skilled job growth in Nepal is low-skilled migration. This paper estimates the extent to which low-skilled migration opportunity has reduced schooling in Nepal. Utilizing Nepal Census data and Instrumental Variables method to account for endogeneity of migration, I estimate the causal impact of greater migration opportunities by comparing schooling attainment across villages with different migration rates. I find that a one percentage point increase in village-level migration rate reduced the likelihood of obtaining upper secondary schooling by 3-6 percent. This demonstrates that TLM could reduce long term economic growth due to its negative impact on schooling, thus drawing attention to a possible trade-off between short-term poverty alleviation and long-term impacts of TLM. Another implication for developing countries with low-skilled migration is that any policy aimed at improving schooling should take into account incentives created by such migration opportunities. Further, this study expands the literature on migration by highlighting the influence of community-level migration on individual decisions. |
» | Nepal - Living Standards Survey 2010-2011 |
» | Nepal - National Population Census 2001 |