Estimates of Fertility for South Africa based on Rele Method, 1996-2011

Type Journal Article - Journal of Human Ecology
Title Estimates of Fertility for South Africa based on Rele Method, 1996-2011
Author(s)
Volume 43
Issue 3
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2013
Page numbers 257-265
URL http://www.krepublishers.com/02-Journals/JHE/JHE-43-0-000-13-Web/JHE-43-3-000-13-Abst-PDF/JHE-43-3-2​57-13-2353-Palamuleni-M/JHE-43-3-257-13-2353-Palamuleni-M-Tx[6].pmd.pdf
Abstract
The paper uses the 1996, 2001 and 2011 censuses and 2007 Community Survey to study levels,
trends and differentials in fertility in South Africa using the Rele method that estimates fertility from the reported
age distributions. At national level, Total Fertility Rate (TFR) remained constant at 3.3 children per woman
between 1996 and 2001 but declined to 2.4 and 2.2 children per woman in 2007 and 2011, respectively. There are
variations in fertility by province and population group. Fertility is lower among the affluent provinces of
Gauteng, Western Cape and Free State than the disadvantaged provinces of Limpopo, Mpumalanga, Eastern Cape
and North West. Fertility has remained largely unchanged in Free State and Mpumalanga and has decreased in all the
other provinces with exception of Western Cape and Kwazulu-Natal which suggest a rise in fertility during the
period under review. The factors responsible for such a pattern are not fully understood and remain to be established
by further research.

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