Sovereign credit risk in the euro zone

Type Journal Article - World Economics
Title Sovereign credit risk in the euro zone
Author(s)
Volume 13
Issue 1
Publication (Day/Month/Year) 2012
URL http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1811789
Abstract
What is the current state of sovereign credit risk across Euro zone? Does the recent fiscal crisis extend to other (non Euro zone) countries? Is Greece the center of the problem? How did the current fiscal crisis in the Euro area start? Who is behind it? Why can it evolve? How can it be addressed? And, is a fiscally-challenged country likely to want to leave the Euro zone? This article addresses these questions, argues that a fiscally-weak country is better off in the Euro zone than outside it, and finds that a feasible policy tool can be a bailout associated with tough fiscal conditionality. It also shows that sovereign credit risk adjustment in the Euro zone can happen, using various measures, but not without "fiscal pain".

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