Type | Journal Article |
Title | China’s older workers and structural change: a review of evidence and policy challenges |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2013 |
URL | http://cepar.edu.au/media/166993/elisabetta-magnani.pdf |
Abstract | As fertility rates decline and life expectancy increases, countries across the developed and the developing world face the prospect of rapidly aging populations, increasing old dependency ratios and declining youth dependency ratios. These demographic changes have fundamental implications for economies, societies, families and individuals in low and middle income countries. In OECD economies, population ageing has sparked the multiplication of calls for policies that support labour market participation by older workers. As in OECD countries, the success of such policies in China relies on our understanding of the determinants of older workers' labour force participation decisions. In this paper I argue that the success of policies directed to boost labour force participation by older workers cannot afford to neglect to investigate the determinants of older workers labour demand. Evidence of a "discouraged worker effect" among Chinese older workers due to deep structural change in the composition of output, in the role of State Own Enterprises and in the structure of wages suggests that integrating labour demand with labour supply interventions is paramount to address the issues of population and workforce ageing in a way that takes into account individuals' and governments preferences and constraints as well as consideration of how actual labour markets work. |
» | China - National Population Census 1982 |
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» | China - Urban Household Survey 1994 |
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