Type | Thesis or Dissertation - Doctor of Philosophy in Agricultural Economics |
Title | Risk analysis of smallholder farmers in central and north-east Thailand |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2011 |
URL | http://researcharchive.lincoln.ac.nz/bitstream/10182/3924/3/Aditto_phd.pdf |
Abstract | Risk is one of the most important factors that affect a person?s welfare and it is commonly associated with the probability of unexpected loss or injury (Dallas, 2006; Harwood, Heifner, Coble, Perry, & Somwaru, 1999). Conversely, risk is widely viewed as a complicated factor that influences decision making under uncertain conditions that may affect outcomes in the future (Hardaker, Huirne, Anderson, & Lien, 2004; McCarl & Spreen, 1996). There are different definitions of risk and how it is determined. Levy (2006, p. 1) stated that “people may have a feel as to what risk means, but if asked how to measure it, there would be a little consensus”. Knight (1921) cited by Rose (2001) emphasized the sharp distinction between risk and uncertainty. Risk can be defined as the possible outcomes and the probability distribution of each outcome are known and measurable. In contrast, uncertainty exists when the probability of future outcomes is unknown. However, some economists have argued that the terms risk or uncertainty can be used interchangeably (Dillon & Anderson, 1990; Roumasset, 1976). Risk occurs when the outcome of an operation cannot be forecast with certainty but each outcome can be explained by the subjective probabilities. The authors also argued that risk can be defined as variability of outcomes. |
» | Thailand - Agricultural Census 2003 |