Type | Journal Article - Economic Development and Cultural Change |
Title | Agricultural outputs and conflict displacement: Evidence from a policy intervention in Rwanda |
Author(s) | |
Volume | 57 |
Issue | 1 |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2007 |
Page numbers | 31-66 |
URL | http://www.csae.ox.ac.uk/conferences/2007-edia-lawbidc/papers/046-kondylis.pdf |
Abstract | This paper uses micro data from the 2000/01 Enquete de Condition de Vie des Menages in Rwanda to study the livelihood of agricultural subsistence households and a resettlement policy in post-conflict rural Rwanda. Arguably exogenous conflict-induced migration is employed to account for the incidence of conflict at the household level. A post-conflict resettlement policy, the villagization or imidugudu policy, is also assessed in the pilot years of its implementation. We also exploit this programme as a source of exogenous variations in patterns of resettlement to measure differentials in skill spill-overs across returnees in policy and non-policy areas. Controlling for (unobserved) prefecture heterogeneity and input consumption, we find that the (unobserved) heterogeneity associated to conflict-induced migration has a negative, large, and significant effect on agricultural output in all areas. Our results also suggest that, although there is evidence that returnees are more motivated in achieving better livelihoods than stayers. We also find some support to the notion that displacement decreased returnees’ level of agricultural know-how, and that villagization reduced skill spill-over flows from stayers to returnees. However, those results are not preserved when instrumental-variable estimation is used to correct for endogeneity issues in the input-output specification. Overall, we find that returnees should be the target of reconstruction and welfare-improving intervention programmes in post-war Rwanda, and that extending the programme to the whole of Rwanda is unlikely to prove production-enhancing. |
» | Rwanda - Integrated Household Living Conditions Survey 2000-2001 |