Type | Book |
Title | The unequal effects of liberalization: theory and evidence from India |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2003 |
Publisher | London School of Economics and Political Science |
URL | http://econ.lse.ac.uk/staff/rburgess/wp/abrz030305.pdf |
Abstract | This paper exploits the 1991 Indian liberalization to illustrate how such a reform may have unequal effects on industries and regions within a single country. We begin by developing a Schumpeterian growth model to analyze the effects on growth and inequality of liberalization reforms aimed at increasing entry. The main predictions of the model are: (i) liberalization fosters innovation (technology adoption), profits and growth, in industries that are initially close to the technological frontier, while it reduces innovation, profits and growth in industries which are initially far below the frontier; (ii) proworker labor regulations discourage innovation and growth in all industries and this negative effect increases with liberalization. We test these predictions in a 3-digit industry panel data set for the sixteen main states of India over the period 1980-1997. The empirical results confirm the main predictions of the model. We find that the 1991 liberalization in India had strong inequalizing effects, by fostering productivity growth and profits in 3-digit industries that were initially closer to the Indian productivity frontier and in states with more flexible labor market institutions. These findings emphasize that the initial level of technology and institutional context mattered for whether and to what extent industries and states in India benefited from liberalization. |