Type | Working Paper |
Title | Updating Poverty Estimates at Frequent Intervals: Preliminary Results from Jordan |
Author(s) | |
Publication (Day/Month/Year) | 2013 |
URL | http://www.webmeets.com/files/papers/IEA/2014/289/Dang and Serajuddin- Jordan_LFS_Poverty- October2013.pdf |
Abstract | M any developing countries are faced with the issue that household surveys are conducted on a more infrequent basis relative to the demand for regular poverty estimates . Labor force surveys are howe ver available more frequently. T o take advantage of this, we apply a new imputation technique to provide predicted poverty rates combining the Household Expenditure and Income Survey (HEIS) and the Employment and Unemployment Survey (EUS) for Jordan. Our preliminary predicted poverty rates based on the EUS s urveys closely track the true poverty rates based on the HEIS surveys for 2008 and 2010. Furthermore, we provide updated poverty numbers for 2011 and 2012 based on the EUSs. These results point to both a new tool to monitor poverty trends for Jordan as we ll as a potentially widespread application of this method to other contexts. We provide a discussion of the underlying assumption for effective implementation of this method, and propose a step - by - step procedure by which consistent estimates can be obtaine d. We also discuss the remaining issues and challenges that we need to overcome to improve our estimation. |